TheGipper

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Everything posted by TheGipper

  1. There's your hint. It wouldn't. We see how common COVID-19 reinfection is already. Smallpox, measles, polio reinfection was extraordinarily rare. Governments have sold you on the fantasy of eradication. They do it as a justification to blame the Kulaks for their broken promises. "If only those bad people we hate would get vaccinated, this whole thing would be over. It's all their fault!"
  2. Do you think if the answer is as low "one", that it would be a sufficiently small number? Do you think the supposed index case zero in the Wuhan wet market (i.e., a single transmission from a bat or pangolin to human) was a sufficiently small number to prevent a pandemic? You're rationalizing irrational government policies.
  3. Nonsense. We have lots of cross infection cases post case zero. It's infecting a large number of species, including domesticated dogs and cats. It's not going to be eradicated. Maybe it's time to stop supporting government policies that pretend this is possible.
  4. Smallpox and measles had no animal reservoirs at all. They were exclusively human viruses. Polio could infect higher primates only (in addition to humans) but they were essentially no animal reservoirs that could infect humans. That is why eradication was possible with those viruses. There are significant animal reservoirs for SARS-CoV-2. It will never be eradicated.
  5. Yep, had the same with a 2020 Especial No. 2 recently. Have seen it on a few other various sticks over the years. It's rare, but it can happen with Cubans.
  6. Weird, the poll choices have only "thumbs up" answers, with "Tacky as hell" naturally being the highest form of praise.
  7. Pfft, we've been set up. HSA: <deletes almost all the Lonsdales> Me: <frowns> PCC: So what would you say you smoke a lot of? Me: Well, not a lot of Lonsdales anymore. HSA: See, we were right to delete them!
  8. Yep. Wait 'til they find out how many billions of mold spores they inhale every day.
  9. Hint for the voters: There is a whopping great difference if the purchase price was an in-country price for the Regional vs. typical out of country (secondary) price.
  10. When I see an absolutely perfectly aligned band, and it comes off easily without tearing the wrapper leaf....that's when I wonder if I have a fake.
  11. I like the fact that Mr. Cufflink is somehow getting a razor sharp burn without having clipped the cigar yet. That's style!
  12. I had one a few weeks ago from a box I've held since '03. HSA told us the early ELs were intended to be aged. They were right. They are outstanding now. Curious aging profile much like the 2000 Montecristo Robustos. Universally hated early, but transformed into something special after many years. Board-boss quote-debating will be ignored, it's just my (more recent) opinion.
  13. I have been vacuum sealing boxes for long term aging for almost 20 years. I think your method is similar. Over the years, I have found that I prefer to remove a box from vacuum seal about a year before I will smoke them. I find that a box taken out of a long term vacuum seal will go into a sick period for several months after coming out of seal. You are on the right path. Don't let anybody tell you any nonsense about "air circulation" or "you need to let them breathe occasionally". MRN was on to something good.
  14. I needed a third option for BBF: "I used to get it (before 2007 or so) but I don't anymore."
  15. The 2019 text of the bill is here: https://www.congress.gov/bill/116th-congress/senate-bill/428/text?format=txt Appears to essentially be a full repeal of the embargo, despite the typically misleading title. It did not have 100% Dem support in 2019. In a 50-50 Senate, that would be necessary to pass this, of course.
  16. I think this is the shelf-sitting, dust-collecting world champion of all time.
  17. The fact that this seems to take a step *away* from entirely killing off the Ramon Allones and Rafael Gonzalez marcas is good news to me.
  18. Them's fightin' words! I loved it, but I can see how people don't like it. It's definitely got a different feel and pacing than typical Hollywood "action" movies. Maybe that's why some us liked this movie so much.
  19. CBS broadcast Stateside showed the clock definitely stopped at 1:15 until the ball was spotted, just at @GotYaGoat described.
  20. Presumably, by definition discontinued vitolas are not regular production. Interestingly, in my tracking I have found that among the five broad categories I track (Regular Production, Discontinued, REs, ELs, Special Production), regular production produces higher returns than the other 4 categories. It's a surprising result (to me) that continues to persist so far through 7+ months of open market sales data. I am pretty sure I have the answer, but it wouldn't be sporting for me to participate with my "guesses". I will say some of you are nearly on the right track. Others...are not.
  21. Oh nonsense, it's fine. It just takes a longer to kill the eggs at 1C-5C. 10-14 days at just above freezing is the same as 4-12 hours in a -10C to -15C freezer. Look it up in the Imai and Harada paper. I think there's a lot of misunderstanding of the acclimated larva category in the Imai and Harada paper. This category was hatched egg larvae that were exposed to 15C for multiple months before they were subjected to the test conditions. Imai and Harada were trying to simulate tobacco stored for months in a curing barn or warehouse during typical (mild) winter conditions in tobacco growing regions. You are unlikely to have any larvae in your boxes at all, and even if somehow you do, the refrigerator temperature is well below the acclimation temperature. You will kill the larvae in the refrigerator in about the same time as the eggs.
  22. It's a good topic, and I'm glad you brought this up, because I have been wondering about this myself. I also have gotten quite a few 2019 boxes with similar characteristics. But by no means all boxes in my case. Some of these are reminding me of boxes I got between 1997-2005. Completely unsmokeable when young. Haven't seen much of this in the last 15 years. However, almost all of those unsmokeables came around after 3-5 years. Many turned into fantastic boxes down the road. Ask anyone who got the the 2000 Montecristo Robustos EL when released, the were Exhibit 1A of this. Some of the worst cigars you'd ever had from Cuba when young. 7-10 years later, they were legendary in how good they were.
  23. Well, what happened there? Good catch. Corrected table below. Marcas Annualized Lot Count Bolivar 13.01% 38 Cohiba 15.31% 65 Cohiba (Regular Production, ex Behike) 14.02% 43 Cohiba (Behike Only) 26.94% 4 Diplomaticos 15.02% 14 El Rey del Mundo 7.14% 13 H. Upmann 13.07% 58 Hoyo de Monterrey 13.33% 30 La Gloria Cubana 25.34% 9 Montecristo 11.59% 46 Partagas 15.45% 59 Por Larranaga 14.36% 35 Punch 9.95% 23 Quai d'Orsay 19.42% 6 Rafael Gonzalez 7.07% 4 Ramon Allones 12.91% 36 Romeo y Julieta 10.29% 23 Saint Luis Rey 12.07% 15 San Cristobal de la Habana 8.88% 8 Sancho Panza 6.36% 8 Trinidad 12.14% 13 Vegas Robaina 7.77% 9
  24. Overall Returns Annualized Lot Count All Auctions Equal-Weight 12.25% 545 All Auctions Dollar-Weight [see Note 1] 12.79% 545 Note 1: Dollar weighted returns are a better measure of portfolio performance by dollar invested. Equal weight represent return per lot (box), and are suggestive of a lower bound for returns on low-priced boxes. Category Returns (Equal Weight) Annualized Lot Count Regular Production 14.11% 269 Special Production (Non-EL) 10.42% 43 Discontinued 12.33% 68 Regional Editions [see Note 2] 11.89% 96 Edicion Limitadas 12.64% 69 Note 2: Regional Edition returns are lower due to cost-to-acquire assumptions included in our baseline pricing database. Returns will be higher for boxes acquired at in-country typical prices. Marcas Annualized Lot Count Bolivar 13.01% 38 Cohiba 15.31% 65 Cohiba (Regular Production, ex Behike) 14.02% 43 Cohiba (Behike Only) 26.94% 4 Diplomaticos 15.02% 14 El Rey del Mundo 7.14% 13 H. Upmann 13.07% 58 Hoyo de Monterrey 13.33% 30 La Gloria Cubana 25.34% 9 Montecristo 11.59% 46 Por Larranaga 14.36% 35 Punch 9.95% 23 Quai d'Orsay 19.42% 6 Rafael Gonzalez 7.07% 4 Ramon Allones 12.91% 36 Romeo y Julieta 10.29% 23 Saint Luis Rey 12.07% 15 San Cristobal de la Habana 8.88% 8 Sancho Panza 6.36% 8 Trinidad 12.14% 13 Vegas Robaina 7.77% 9 Production Year Annualized Lot Count Pre-2000 6.71% 13 2000 6.14% 5 2001 8.01% 10 2002 8.99% 10 2003 8.14% 12 2004 10.55% 8 2005 10.89% 14 2006 10.20% 21 2007 8.42% 29 2008 9.33% 38 2009 9.52% 22 2010 13.06% 26 2011 12.95% 26 2012 12.72% 36 2013 12.49% 30 2014 16.17% 54 2015 15.64% 62 2016 16.89% 79 2017 15.10% 29 Original Purchase Price (estimated) Annualized Lot Count $100 and under 16.58% 37 $100 to $250 12.78% 338 $250 to $500 12.97% 133 $500 to $1000 10.32% 28 $1000 and higher 22.19% 9 Box Quantity Annualized Lot Count 5 9.67% 4 10 13.85% 175 15 13.88% 9 20 9.66% 6 25 12.53% 297 50 16.34% 29

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