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About Corylax18

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  1. Using other's irrational panic as justification for your own irrational panic is not constructive. Its actually the exact opposite and only serves to worsen a situation like this. Panicking is never the right response, to any situation, regardless of severity. An educated, rational, thoughtful response(however rare that may be) will almost always generate better results. Unfortunately, Educated, Rational, and Thoughtful(factual) doesn't sell advertising, so we get overhyped conjecture and panic I haven't read a single post that states this is a hoax(I didn't re read all of them though), but plenty have taken the view that the media have blown the entire situation WAY out of proportion. I'm in that camp. I may be mistaken, but I think we all agree that China has not been providing factual data. So lets throw that data out the window. (for scientific purposes the data is worthless) I think we can trust numbers that are coming out of other countries though. So, lets do some quick math: 4,281 total cases, 70 deaths. a .016% death rate, much lower than the death rate of the regular old flu at about .1% my sources:
  2. If the wrappers are that far off, imagine how far off the rest of the blend is. Marca DNA? HAHAHAHA.
  3. I'm of the opinion that people over think much of the cigar smoking process, storage mainly, but cutting/lighting are a close second. I try to KISS whenever possible and I've found that worrying less about some of the non smoking aspects of cigar smoking has greatly increased my overall enjoyment. While I have several high dollar Lighters (mostly gifts) I've found myself gravitating towards the cheaper/simpler lighters over the years. Single or triple torch, either works for me, the cheaper the better, the larger the reservoir, the better. I'm past caring about the aesthetics. Lighting technique? I cut the cigar, test the draw, then run the flame around the entire foot of the cigar a couple times, then take a couple light puffs with the flame touching the foot. I blow that smoke onto the foot to "test" if I've got a cherry over the entire foot. If so, I'm off to the races, if not, I'll touch up the unlit area without drawing on the cigar. I agree that less heat is key, and fewer puffs on the cigar while its exposed to the flame is also beneficial.
  4. That's why a good lawyer matters! I went to college with a Kid that sold a "white powdery substance" to an undercover officer and was still convicted of Possession with intent to distribute and the CDS charge despite the fact that he only had baby laxative in his possession. It was weighed and bagged for sale, but obviously not a CDS. The guy was obviously a moron though. Didn't get a lawyer, still paid in the long run.
  5. I smoke about 65-70% of my cigars with my Dad and its been that way since I started smoking. Sometimes we smoke three or four times a month, sometimes we don't smoke together for a month. No set schedule, just whenever we can make it happen.
  6. Do you really think they are producing boxes at that quality level on the island? I've not seen a state run business produce Anything to that level of quality. My understanding was that the new factory was aiming to produce "volume" boxes. The photos in the article only show what appear to be Standard SLBs and SBNs.
  7. While I do agree that the Herederos box looks stunning, I'd rather buy it like an accessory. I see a use for it storing lighters, cutters and the like, but I'd rather pay $150-$200 less and get the cigars wrapped in "Granma" and handed to me in a knotted plastic bag. But I guess that's just me................
  8. I smoked through a box + of the La Isla during my trip in November. I don't think age will help these much. They're just very subtle, light cigars. I enjoyed the ones I smoked more than it appears you did though. I'm happy I have a couple more boxes tucked away, but I'll probably smoke through them in the next two years or so. Then forget about the release.
  9. Good point, very good point. The WHO has had a "high level" team in China since mid January. But, that team is only as good as the access they're given. The last two reports from the WHO show a decline in the rate of new transmissions in China(figure 2), but not yet in the rest of the world. But, that's all predicated on the accuracy of the info we're getting from Chinese health officials. The WHO has even recommended that countries begin lifting their travel and shipping bans to/from China. Which seems like a big deal, something that News networks might want to communicate, if they were interested in communicating facts. I don't put a ton of stock into this information, as its changing rapidly and the WHO hasn't exactly been batting 1.000 so far, but its better than the news we've been getting. The "Strategic Objectives" area just under Figure 3 is particularly interesting, they make a point to say that they believe reducing transmission rates can "be achieved through a combination of public health measures." They then list those measures, and none of them are travel bans or mass quarantines.
  10. It depends on the event.(you can buy tickets for any one event, or all of them) But I would say 150ish. But there are alot more people that schedule their trips to Havana to coincide with the event.
  11. I think we (Humanity) are our own worst enemy in these situations. Everything is "viral" these days, videos, tweets, ads, etc. The disease has spread like wild fire, to every inch of the planet, to the minds/bodies of billions. On the internet. But the viral spread of the disease itself has been slower and more easily contained than the common flu virus is. We've whipped ourselves into a frenzy, in our heads, on our computer monitors, but the disease itself is lagging FAR behind the spread of its reputation. If the real thing was spreading as fast as its reputation on the internet/on TV than I would agree that we're all screwed. Unfortunately the gap between the truth and reality seems to be getting larger and larger each time one of these "new" diseases comes around. To your first sentence. We are more effectively slowing/stopping the spread of a disease we know very little about (in its infancy) than a disease that we've had almost a century to figure out. The standard flu vaccine in the United States this year contained an H1N1(swine flu) antibody. Yes, millions of Americans voluntarily got injected with weak virus cells from one the last "world ending" diseases. I did myself. Imagine telling people that 10 years ago, when we were all going to die from the swine flu. My point is, COVID 19 is, scientifically speaking, a nasty cold. Given time (just like with H1N1, avian flu, sars, ebola, etc. etc.) We will figure out how to deal with it. Quite honestly, I'm stunned that the inoculation and death rates for more common flu strains are where they are. So to answer your question, I'm very skeptical of the regular (once every couple years) predictions of doomsday. The gross over reactions do more damage to the world as a whole than the diseases themselves. I am very willing to dismiss this one, like I did with the last however many "epidemics" that we all survived. We're one big natural disaster away from forgetting all about this crap. Look at how quickly we forgot about WW III with Iran, or them shooting down a plane full of civilians, or any of the other things I posted above. Take shots at me if you want, but a new, brighter, shinier object will come along to distract us before too long.
  12. Do you have the numbers to back this up, or did you hear it somewhere? I'm not saying you're wrong, I'm just asking you to "show your work." (or that of whoever you quoted) In the post you quoted, I broke down the most recent numbers I could find for this disease against a typical (not bad) flu season. I know the numbers for this current disease are changing rapidly and should be taken with a grain of salt, but I cant find any numbers anywhere that show this disease is actually more deadly, or will be more deadly as we get our heads around it. I understand the death rates in rural china looked pretty scary at points, but look at the numbers from developed countries. Just like the last few "end of the world" diseases (SARS, EBOLA, Avian/Swine flu) the transmission and death rates fall off a cliff when we start looking at developed nations.
  13. No, it isn't. The numbers simply don't back that up, not even close. What does the stock market have to do with the science of a virus spreading? Nothing. What does stupid people falling for lies have to do with the science of a virus spreading? Nothing. The stock market is dropping because a handful of people thought they might try to front run some drops, high volume algorithms picked up on this activity, then the run away train started. Just like the flash crash in December 18, we've automated so much of the trading process these days that huge drops just don't mean what they used to. The market will gain it back, just like the last 10 or 15 times we had 6, 7, 8, 9 hundred point drops. The "affect" on the worst affected country is fewer cases and deaths than a large US state sees in the same period during a typical Flu season. So yes, lots of people are getting sucked into the Hype, but that shouldn't be your justification for falling for it too. If this virus is really this bad, than why doesn't the entire world fall into a tail spin every winter? When a disease that has proven itself (over decades) to be more virulent and deadly sweeps across the northern hemisphere?
  14. That graphic was created by someone who is either willfully ignorant or has a vested interest in continuing the hype. It is completely devoid of context and falls apart pretty quickly when analyzed against the spread of other common diseases. (Mainly the flu) The real Virus is in our Minds. People spread falsehoods (like the graphic above) without verifying or fact checking them themselves, then all of a sudden it becomes "fact." I completely agree with you that comparing this to other virus outbreaks is a mistake, if your goal is to keep scaring people. But a quick/dirty comparison to the good old flu virus should make anybody feel a lot better about this "epidemic."
  15. The fact that most of it (95% +) is unsubstantiated hype at best and outright, willful lies in many cases. Look at the video @rcarlson posted a few posts above this one. First, it has no context/reference to the spread rate of diseases that we are all familiar with already. if the common flu was included in that graphic, nobody would be looking at it, because ALL the other diseases(covid 19 inculded) would be immeasurably small in comparison. That graphic and most of the news coverage has been designed to scare you, not to educate you. Because scary boosts ratings, boring old facts don't. There are typically about 25-30 MILLION flu hospitalizations per year, in US alone, the number of cases is even higher than that. so in an average 6 month flu season that's more than 4 MILLION hospitalization cases A MONTH. Or roughly 100x the growth rate of COVID 19, using only verified hospitalizations, not even total flu cases. That's for a disease that we already "understand" and have a vaccine for. We don't know shit about this disease and we've managed to hold the growth/spread and death rates orders of magnitude below a disease that runs rampant through humanity every year. Its the same with deaths too. As I stated in a previous post over 80,000 people died from the flu in the 17-18 US season. Or about 13,333 per MONTH, again, in that same 100x rate over the Covid 19 viruses' current rate. We are all being lied to. Why? I don't know, but what a great distraction from the Human Rights protests in Hong Kong, or Epstein's murder, or failed "trade negotiations", etc. etc.

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