I agree blending isn’t an exact science, but I do believe they have expert blenders attempting to maintain consistency enough so that they can ensure each respective marca’s flavor profile is at least in the same ballpark. These little blind tastings could actually demonstrate that since there are only a given number of any regular production vitola. If it’s truly as you suggest, then the guesses should be an evenly random distribution across each marca (statistically insignificant variations aside). So for this cigar, there should be 20% of the guesses going to each marca (since there’s only five regular production cigars in this size). Now there are biases, etc that can be argued but if you can get enough participants (n) then you could account for them and normalize your results.
Reading these threads before smoking introduces a bias as well- I won’t be doing it again. People are saying they tasted such and such. One person’s such and such is suggestive of blank and another person’s such and such is suggestive of blank.
So I tried to forget what I read on this thread and lit up. In the first third I thought to myself, “It’s not blank, blank, or blank. I don’t know about that one dude, but I didn’t taste such and such.” That left two. Finishing up the first third, I felt supremely confident it was blank. Suddenly, I drew this fleeting and wonderful such and such that it threw me for a loop. The second third was uneventful and there was little evolution and it wasn’t reminding me of blank any more. It still didn’t taste like blank, blank, or blank. Was it blank instead? Honestly, it didn’t really taste much like blank either. So, I’m sticking with my first guess and will submit blank as my answer.
Naturally, it had to start raining right after I lit it up. Meteorology doesn’t appear to be an exact science either since the forecast didn’t call for rain until tomorrow.